Thursday Update...

GM all, well overall the forecast put out for this week on Monday's blog entry has worked out pretty well.

Today looks to be a nice, breezy, summer-like day. Quite a bit convective debris (high clouds) from last night's activity out west - but overall we'll see some filtered sun and warm temperatures.

Big system (H5 short) out west will continue to ride up and over the big southeast ridge. Showers and storms will continue to be quite numerous for areas to our west and north throughout today and this evening. Frontal boundary associated with this feature will sag south into the lower Ohio Valley late tonight into Friday morning. This will be our next best chance for showers and a few storms. However, this activity looks to be scattered as the best support (upper dynamics) stay well north of us and frontal timing is not good - late at night / early morning when instability will be at its lowest.

The front will sag south throughout the day on Friday taking the better chances of renewed convection - due to frontal convergence and increasing daytime instability - to the south of Louisville over southern KY for the afternoon hours.

The weekend: Looks okay. Shortwave ridging builds in Friday night and Saturday. Dry weather expected and continued mild conditions. I do think we'll see quite a bit of high cloudiness moving back in on Saturday as the afore mentioned short wave ridge is rather flat. The next system will begin impacting us on Sunday (likely late day). Much of Sunday looks dry but a dying band of convection out west will be spreading eastward towards our region. As a result, clouds will be on the increase and thickening Sunday with even a few light showers possible later in the day.

We'll keep you posted...
Jay