Hey all...
sorry about the late post and this will be a very short one.. We have basketball today for my son. I am working tonight's 11pm though so be sure to tune in then. I had a chance to look at the new 12z stuff and folks.... it's gonna snow !! Upper low track is still very consistant on the GFS model on a run to run basis. 12z canadian is also mirroring the GFS solution.
Looks to me that some patchy light snow will be possible Sunday afternoon - not a big deal at all !
The snow will really ramp up in coverage and intensity late Sunday night into Monday as the upper H5 low moves in and takes on a negative tilt to some extent. Our snow will come from the deformation zone. Guys at this time, I thinking we will be ramping up snow amounts some. This deformation zone looks like it has the potential to put down 4 to 8 inches of snow because ratios will be increasing with this event as well. The only Q is the exact track of the upper low. If the low does take the GFS' and Canadian's track then that 4 to 8 inches looks like a good bet right here in the Louisville area - and much of our viewing area for that matter.
HPC's QPF is anywhere from .5 to .6 and with the expected ratios - that should easily be within our forecast snow range.
So, AT THIS TIME - if the GFS' and Canadian's track holds firm -I thinking 4 to 8" by later Monday afternoon.
Gotta go to the game now... Another update later today or evening.
See ya
Jay
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2 comments:
Jay,
was wondering your thoughts on the latest gfs snowfall map....quite impressive to say the least.....do you think this will verify? I cant imagine a clipper type storm bringing that much snow to our area. I appreciate all you do for us and I hope your son won his game today.
God bless,
Jeremy
Hi Jeremy...
over the past 12 hours there has been a definite northward trend on the track of the H5 low in the models. That would place the absolute heaviest snow from this system north of the metro and across central and southern Indiana. There's a chance that the H7 dry slot may come into play for Louisville and points south now. We'll See
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