Big storm continues to rage in the northeast U.S. The pressure gradient between the eastern storm and high pressure to our west will certainly be steep enough to bring us some breezy conditions today. At least the sun is out and all in all, it's going to be a nice day.
That eastern storm is blocked... i.e. there's not much movement to it. As a shortwave / speedmax rotates around the upper low tonight and tomorrow, this will actually pull (retrograde) the low back to the west some. Moisture is expected to increase across our area and as a result, some patchy light snow and flurries will once again be possible Saturday into Sunday morning. Models QPFs spitting out light amounts so there could be a dusting in spots - but that should be about it
Another snow chance on Tuesday into Wednesday of next week. This is a complicated setup. Strong southwest short to eject east. Because of the block in place, it will be forced to take the southern route - what's new ?? At the same time, a piece of northern stream energy will be dropping into the Ohio Valley. This is where things get interesting. The models are showing these two systems kind of dumbbelling around each other with the southern stream energy staying well south and producing strong cyclogenesis in the deep south and southeast and another big snow for the mid-Atlantic. For us... the northern stream enregy also pulls some moisture north into the Ohio Valley and we end up getting more - basically light - snow. The thing that's interesting to me is the possibility for more phasing between the two streams with the end result of a stronger system that would be farther north (and closer to us) and a possible bigger snow event for our area ?????
GFS still hinting at rising heights towards the end of next week and moderating the pattern some... hmmmmm ?? we'll see about that but then again it will be the first week of March by then.
Have a nice weekend all,
Jay
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