Light rain and drizzle to continue for much of the day as intense H5 wave continues to push across the lower OH and TN valleys. Modified sfc warm front is positioned across southern KY. Along and especially south of this boundary, 0 to 6 K shears values overlays the region of weak to moderate instability. SPC has slight risk for SVR across southern KY into TN for this afternoon. Looks like a great call ! Some elevated thunder will be possible in the Louisville area but the better chances for more widespread thunder and even a few strong / svr cells should remain south Cumberland Pkwy.
GFS has been hinting at a possible winter event for late next week for the past couple of runs now. Two distinct streams/shortwaves. Northern short plunging south with plenty of cold air with it. A southern stream short working east across TX heading for the region with plenty of moisture. Still a LOT of things need to come together to bring us a significant winter storm but the overall upper synoptic field is looking better ... finally after 3 weeks !!
We'll keep you updated
Jay
1 comment:
Jay,
was wondering your thoughts on this weeks possible winter weather event? Again, it appears we are going to be on the border line again.....uggggggg.. could you help shed some light and make this thing more clearer for me? Im on the fence from rain to mix to snow....your thoughts please?
Jeremy from Crandall.
hope you and your family is well.
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