Oh, oh... not looking good for the home team !! NAM has really - really - really changed its tune for areas near the Ohio river - including Louisville. Here's the deal, the air in the low layers is progged to be mainly too dry for the precip to overcome. And to add insult to injury for you snow lovers, the dewpoints were initialized to high for what is actually happening.
I'm not throwing in the towel based on one run from one model.... but .....
We'll wait and see what the GFS has to say.
Everybody pray to the snow gods now ... that is if you are a snow lover.
Jay
3 comments:
OOZ runs have been notorious at doing this....and they almost always "correct" on the following runs...I think the 12Z run tomorrow will tell the tale..plus, if you look at radar returns, the precip in running much farther north already, in both kansas and missouri...we'll see...crossing fingers
One thing that is bothering me Wayne is the dew point / low level dry air. Can't deny it is dry and in reality was drier than what the models were intialized. That bothers me big time. Also the confluent zone at H7 is holding strong very close to the Ohio river. Seriously, hope you're right but....... well let's see what tomorrow brings. The good news is that we still have some time to watch...
see ya
What does Jay say this morning about this storm. I hope things turn around. We could really use a good snow.
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