Warmer For The Week Ahead... Increasing Rain Chances Late Week.

Hello all, hope the weekend was a good one ! Really happy with how the weekend forecast worked out. Gotta be honest though - really getting tired of the cold weather and yes, I am a snow lover.

Well looking ahead, the pattern will stay fairly active and actually amplify some by week's end.

Okay then, in the short term high pressure will dominate the weather pattern through tomorrow (Tuesday). Overall, cold and below average temperatures will continue as well. A weak H5 vort lobe will pass through the Ohio Valley / TN Valley tomorrow and this will bring an increase in mid / high level moisture increasing the clouds some for Tuesday - but certainly no precip.

WAA in the wake the cold sfc high as well as rising heights will mean milder weather for Wednesday allowing temperatures to climb well into the 50s. Thursday, the upper pattern will start to become more active as a fast moving H5 shortwave induces cyclogenesis across the southern Plains. This low will track northeast across the mid MS valley towards the lower Lakes - west and north of us. Bottom line, this feature will pull in warmer air across the Ohio Valley along with increasing low level moisture. Temperatures will likely warm well in to the 60s on Thursday but rain chances will also really ramp up later in the day - but especially Thursday night. There could be some thunder as GFS bufkit is showing some elevated CAPE but I'm NOT expecting anything strong / severe with this system at this time.

The cold front will pass through later Thursday night / early Friday, rain will end but temperatures will once again take a tumble as cold high pressure once again starts nosing in from the north. We'll keep you posted ... Have a great day !

Jay