The much advertised rain maker is now moving into the area... the rain will become steady and even heavy from time to time. It still lokks like 1 to 2 inches (locally 3") of rain seems like a good bet. This is NOT a classic flood situation (potential) with regards to heavy rains on a saturated ground (let's not forget that we still have a drought going on !!). Instead, MSD is concerned about some ponding occurring because of leaves clogging some of the storm sewers - so just be careful when out and about today.
Well, at one other media outlet in this market (NOT WLKY) is comparing today's wind advisory issued by the Nat'l Weather Service to that of September's event .... you know - the remnants of Ike. That comparison is absolutely so so soo bad and just plain irresponsible !!! This is simply a tight isobaric gradient with a decent low level jet overhead and even those winds will have a very tough time mixing to the surface. Folks it's raining out there and a widespread rain at that. This is not a dry mix but a moist mix !! Not good for strong winds at the surface. It looks to me that 15 to 25mph with gusts occasionally to 30 will work. Our best chances for the stronger winds have pretty much passed by us for the day. I do think the winds will become rather gusty again later tonight as the cold front moves through with the colder air and momentum shifting in but that should be about it.
Snow and icing continue well north with winter storm warnings across the Lakes region and severe weather to our south (moderate risk in the deep south today). Damaging winds, hail, and tornadoes possible in those regions. But for us... just widespread soaking rain with perhaps some thunder possible later today / this evening .
Have a great day and try to stay dry.
Later,
Jay
2 comments:
Hey J, was wondering if there is any chance that the storm that forms in the gulf later in the week could bring us some snow? I noticed all the models are tracking further and further west. Will there be enough cold air in place if the further west track continues?
Jeremy
Hey my friend... hope all is well.
Yep been watching that energy too !! The models have indeed - as you mentioned, been trending a bit farther west with this thing. Don't think it's going to do much for us though... The northern stream energy / jet max dropping towards our region, will likely shunt this thing just far enough south to keep us in the clear. Tell you what though, would love to see a big snow around here !! I-75 corridor and points east / northeast have decent chances for rain / freezing rain. The latest run of the GFS (run with our in-house thermal models) place the Bluegrass region in a decent zone of Frzg rain with a little snow on the back edge. Pattern change for late weekend / early next week - west coast trough / eastern ridge and no -NAO !! Darn !! Looks to warm at least for a bit.
stay in touch
Jay
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