Severe Weather ???... NOT Around Here (Wednesday am update)

Overall the active weather pattern will continue... but we have managed to escape the big severe weather outbreaks so far this Spring and I think that trend will continue for the next week to 10 days !!! Good for Us !
It will stay unsettled, however, as another H5 short heads in our direction for late tonight through tomorrow and give us more rain and perhaps a few rumbles of thunder.
Here's the setup... H5 wave passing through the lakes will push a weak boundary through the region tonight...












Frontal boundary will then stall to our south and provide a classic overrunning situation for the NewsChannel 32 viewing area. Southwest H5 short will move northeast and begin to minor out but still have plenty of energy to induce low level cyclogenisis on the boundary.












Low level WAA / isentropic lift will dramatically increase late tonight and pretty much all day tomorrow as system approaches from the southwest. Sfc feature as well as H9 & H85 lows are expected to track south of Louisville - -- perfect set up for persistent rainfall and some embedded thunder (and some of the rainfall will be locally heavy. It looks to me as if a widespread 1 to 2 inches of rain is likely with some locations, a bit more.















Stay dry...
Later:
Jay