I realize as of Saturday early evening, no forecasts in the area are mentioning any precip for us on Sunday but....
certainly looks like a mix of light snow and light rain on the way as a fast moving H5 short slides east across the lower Ohio and Tennessee valleys. Does not look to be anything major, but certainly enough for a period of light snow (and some light rain if sfc temps can warm to 37 or better)...
Monday looks to be a decent day... not a lot of sunshine as mid / high clouds rapidly increase ahead of the another system that will impact our region with showers Monday night - but at least temps will moderate. It looks to me that the temperatures will indeed have a tough time reach the 50s though, I look for readings to top out in the 40s. At least it'll warmer than it has been recently. Sfc warm front won't make it to our area during the day on Monday... primarily because the upper system and sfc low(out west) to an extent is still dropping south of east somewhat. When that happens... the thermal patterns tend to become locked down until the upper system bottoms out and starts moving more east/northeast.
System tracks through Monday night with scattered showers.
Tuesday looks to be a transtional day, CAA all day with dropping temperatures but mnot much precip... basically just some drizzle at best.
Tuesday evening, another H5 short will be diving down through the trough. All models have a decent area of moisture translating through the Ohio Valley Tuesday evening (H7 - 90% or better!). Good chunk of atmosphere is saturated and below critical with temperatures is the good ice crystal generation region
Bottomline, should be a batch of light snow and flurries moving through with the second H5 short Tuesday night... Not a big snow certainly, but a few spots could pick up a light coating...
Have a great rest of your weekend and tell me your thoughts if you have a few seconds
later:
Jay
Saturday, February 23, 2008
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