Well, another long delay on my part... sorry for that - actually was REALLY "under the weather" the past 5 days or so....
quite the wind event last night !! First the narrow line of showers and storms on the front producing wind anywhere from 50 to 70 mph, and then the 2 to 3 hours of 30 to 55 mph post frontal winds as the colder air was spilling in... Lots and lots of wind damage reports - For the latest list, go to http://www.crh.noaa.gov/lmk/.
Okay the next system is quickly approaching. There's been lots of talk from others about significant snow here...... I DON'T THINK SO !!. The GFS is no doubt the model of choice and has been very consistant in its handling of this next storm. H5 low, H7 low, H85 low all go north of the Ohio river.. That ain't good snowmaking weather for us !!! So far this winter, the snowtrack has been from the southern / central plains northeast into the midwest and lower Great Lakes. This storm WILL follow that same pattern.
So, what does it mean for us ??? Thickening clouds will give way to light precip later on Thursday. I do think we could see some sleet mixed in with the rain initially as the atmosphere is moistening and we get some evap. cooling taking place. Should eventually go over to all rain as strong WAA in the low layers wins out.
Storm pulls away from region Friday morning. We'll see some patchy light snow and or flurries on the back side but LITTLE / NO ACCUMULATION expected from this storm in Louisville. Minor accumulations (at best) will be possible in out northern most counties of the viewing area (and even that could be a stretch).
Friday, will be a cold and wintry day with the afore mentioned flurries and the gusty west / northwest winds behind the storm. The BIG snow with this storm will be across S. Missouri - northeast across Illinois into northern half of Indiana - northeast into Lower Michigan.
Sorry snow lovers !! Look at the bright side... Ground Hog day is Saturday and Phil will likely see his shadow ----- 6 more weeks of winter weather !!!! yeah right, whatever !
Have a great day.
Precip will
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